Prepared by BusinessFlare® for Terra

Boca Raton City Center — Economic Impact

An independent economic and fiscal benefits assessment of the proposed public-private redevelopment of Boca Raton's downtown government campus — a plan that advanced to a public referendum in 2025, where voters rejected it.

$1.64Bone-time construction economic output
~5,000total jobs supported during construction
~3,050permanent on-site jobs at stabilization
Overview

Quantifying the public benefit of a downtown transformation

BusinessFlare® was engaged by Terra to prepare an independent Economic and Fiscal Benefits Assessment for the proposed Boca Raton City Center — a public-private redevelopment of the city-owned downtown government campus. The June 2025 report translated the publicly-submitted master plan into rigorous estimates of jobs, economic output, wages, tax revenue, and community benefits for the City of Boca Raton, Palm Beach County, and the wider region.

The proposed program spanned roughly 30 acres and more than 1.3 million square feet of residential, office, retail, hotel, and civic space — including a new City Hall and Community Center delivered by the developer, plus 8 to 9 acres of parks, plazas, and public space. The plan proceeded to a public referendum in 2025, where it was defeated by voters.

1.3M+ sq ftmixed-use program across the campus
$18-20Mprojected annual property taxes at full buildout
$642Mcumulative construction wages & salaries
8-9 acresnew public parks, plazas & civic space
Visuals

The proposed City Center

The work

Explore the analysis

How BusinessFlare® quantified the redevelopment program, its economic and fiscal impact, and the public process that followed.

The publicly-submitted master plan organized more than 1.3 million square feet of commercial, residential, and civic space around public greens, retail streets, neighborhood plazas, and landscaped parks — anchored by a new City Hall and Community Center and located near the Brightline rail station.

Program
  • 912 residential units
  • 350,000 sq ft of office space
  • 77,000 sq ft retail plus 75,000 sq ft food & beverage
  • 150-key hotel and a new City Hall and Community Center

The assessment separated one-time construction impacts from recurring annual operations. Construction was projected to span roughly 8-10 years in phases, generating a substantial regional stimulus before the project's ongoing operations took over as a permanent economic engine.

Findings
  • ~3,400 direct construction job-years; over 5,000 jobs supported regionally
  • ~$1.64 billion in total one-time construction economic output
  • ~$642 million in construction wages and salaries
  • ~3,050 permanent on-site jobs; ~4,200 jobs including multiplier effects

Because the site was city-owned and tax-exempt, redevelopment would create an entirely new taxable base. With the site inside the downtown Community Redevelopment Area, most of the City and County increment would flow to the CRA trust fund until 2042, funding downtown improvements, before reverting to the City's general fund.

Findings
  • ~$18-20 million in annual property taxes across jurisdictions at full buildout
  • $139M cumulative City/CRA revenue through the 2042 CRA period
  • $184M cumulative over the first 25 years
  • Tens of millions in one-time permit, impact, and utility connection fees

Beyond tax revenue, the plan emphasized public benefit: extensive open space, new civic facilities delivered by the developer in lieu of an upfront cash payment, and connectivity improvements integrating civic and private uses into a walkable downtown district.

Findings
  • 8-9 acres of new parks, plazas, and recreational space
  • New City Hall and Community Center built by the developer
  • Community Center with fitness room, indoor courts, and meeting rooms
  • Enhanced pedestrian connectivity and proximity to Brightline

As a redevelopment of city-owned land, the proposal required voter approval and was placed on the ballot. In the 2025 referendum, Boca Raton voters did not approve the plan, and the proposed redevelopment did not move forward. BusinessFlare®'s role was limited to the independent economic and fiscal analysis presented during the public process.

The result
  • The redevelopment proceeded to a public referendum in 2025
  • Voters rejected the proposal; the referendum failed
  • The proposed City Center redevelopment did not advance
  • BusinessFlare®'s contribution was the public economic and fiscal assessment
By the numbers

Key points